Human-caused climate change – which is warming the oceans and atmosphere – isn’t producing more hurricanes. “The other half of the story with hurricanes is the tremendous amount of wind force they have.” “We had half the story that comes from hurricanes with our flood model,” Eby said. “The second thing that comes along with that is they’re stronger.”įirst Street is known for analyzing flood risk that comes from more rainfall, rising seas and higher storm surge, but Eby said the group also wanted to capture how many properties were at risk to increased wind damage from stronger storms fueled by climate change – and where in the US they were. They’re making it latitudinally up to places they haven’t before,” said Matthew Eby, founder and CEO of the First Street Foundation. “Hurricanes are making their way northward. The report also highlights Southeast cities like Charleston, South Carolina, and Savannah, Georgia, as notable future hot spots. Over the next 30 years, though, New York City would see the largest percentage increase in average annual loss due to strong hurricanes, followed by Newport News, Virginia, and other coastal communities in the Mid-Atlantic. But the future holds a significant uptick in damage for regions that previously have tended to be safer from the most devastating storms.įor instance, First Street found the top 20 US cities with the highest likelihood of being hit with a major hurricane in 2023 are all in Florida. These rainfall amounts could lead to flash flooding, including landslides.The First Street analysis, which covers the next 30 years – or the typical life of a home mortgage – shows Florida and the Gulf Coast will continue to have the largest magnitude of financial loss from hurricane damage. "Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are possible across northwestern portions of mainland Mexico. "Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches with maxima of 8 inches are possible across the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. "Kay is expected to produce rainfall totals of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maxima of 15 inches across the central portions of the Baja California peninsula through Friday," NHC stated. The NHC stated that swells from local surf regions could become life-threatening. "There is a possibility that this system will bring significant rainfall to portions of the area." "It is forecast to move to close to San Diego and then curve west," the National Weather Service in Los Angeles said, according to Fox Weather. But with tropical systems, things could change and Kay could move inward, which would likely drench California. The southernmost parts of California can expect high winds, heavy rains and strong storm surges even if Kay moves toward its northwestern trajectory. Hurricane Danielle Path: Spaghetti Models as Storm Gathers Strength.Second Hurricane Could Form in Atlantic Will it Make Landfall?. Hurricane Kay Path, Tracker as California, Mexico Brace for Storm.It becomes a Category 2 hurricane at 96 mph. The first has already begun organizing with disbanded storms starting to come together, and another is just leaving the African continent.Īs storms move over warm waters of the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, they usually become more powerful, and once they reach wind speeds of 74 mph, that's when it becomes a Category 1 hurricane. Two more systems off the west coast of Africa have already formed. This doesn't mean the Atlantic is clear of storms. On Tuesday night, Hurricane Kay was making its way northward to the Baja California peninsula of Mexico, potentially threatening the southern coast of California this weekend with high winds and soaking rains. this year, and the Atlantic has been way more inactive than the Eastern Pacific basin this season. There have been no hurricanes or tropical storms in the Atlantic basin to hit the U.S. Graphic courtesy of National Hurricane Center Hurricane Earl formed on Tuesday, Septemsouth of Bermuda.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |